Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.024832 0.026714 0.028678 0.030883 0.033290 0.035843 0.038758
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.021610 0.024299 0.027254 0.030753 0.034797 0.039338 0.044845
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019597 0.022774 0.026404 0.030881 0.036284 0.042633 0.050713
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017832 0.021265 0.025312 0.030470 0.036918 0.044780 0.055193
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016324 0.019891 0.024203 0.029853 0.037130 0.046290 0.058849
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.015221 0.018901 0.023454 0.029567 0.037656 0.048136 0.062969
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.014271 0.018022 0.022759 0.029259 0.038075 0.049800 0.066890
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.013304 0.017051 0.021867 0.028607 0.037948 0.050667 0.069704
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012807 0.016658 0.021698 0.028891 0.039082 0.053300 0.075171
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.012244 0.016139 0.021319 0.028845 0.039727 0.055248 0.079738
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011871 0.015853 0.021233 0.029191 0.040929 0.058049 0.085762
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011340 0.015317 0.020767 0.028953 0.041245 0.059532 0.089823
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010884 0.014869 0.020406 0.028855 0.041770 0.061375 0.094619
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010372 0.014317 0.019868 0.028460 0.041813 0.062465 0.098259
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010032 0.013994 0.019643 0.028518 0.042550 0.064676 0.103920
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009592 0.013505 0.019149 0.028133 0.042553 0.065690 0.107583
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009135 0.012971 0.018562 0.027568 0.042229 0.066132 0.110253
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008787 0.012586 0.018182 0.027308 0.042378 0.067359 0.114400
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008458 0.012214 0.017804 0.027028 0.042472 0.068486 0.118434
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.008072 0.011741 0.017250 0.026434 0.042000 0.068594 0.120547
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007912 0.011608 0.017220 0.026692 0.042989 0.071320 0.127862
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007691 0.011373 0.017016 0.026651 0.043451 0.073123 0.133508
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007562 0.011275 0.017026 0.026965 0.044551 0.076146 0.141830